Wii-mote, DVD and Mouse Under Threat

1. DVD players
Fair dues – although I reckon its gonna be caused by increase in uptake of consoles with (hd-)dvd/blu ray playback rather than standalone Blu Ray players.

4. The landline phone
Unless the T-Orange merger results in dramatic price cuts i can think of a few people who’ll be keeping there landline for quite some time

5. Mobile phone charger
Definitely, just a matter of time before the options you get when plugging your phone into your computer includes “Charge Only”

6. Wii-mote
2 complaints here in that I don’t like the look of Project Natal personally, people will pick and choose favourites quite evenly I reckon and 2nd the Wii-mote was never gonna be anything other than a time-passsing, niche filler but that’s a job it does well, it’ll subside now that the novelty is gone but its not gonna fade away yet.

8. Dongle
Not a chance I have 3 Dongles all in common usage and I can’t think of any cost effective replacement for any of them.

9. The computer mouse
I’m sure there’s some great new invention i’m missing here thats gonna make the mouse completely useless… anyone care to explain?

Wondered that myself – all I can think of are touchscreens and laptop pads.

Hmmm, the authors of that list have obviously never done anything very much with a mouse! (Mac users perhaps?) try using any design software and it will soon be realised as a nightmare to do without one!

I don’t think blue-ray will be the death of DVD either, I think it’s more likely to be solid state cards and multi-media drives that kills it off in the end!.

The only thing I can think of with regards to the Computer Mouse is the 10GUI.com project?

10GUI looks pretty cool but I think it might be a little early for declaring it a mouse killer, I hadn’t even heard of it until you mentioned it and like The Number 27 said its gonna be impossible designing stuff using track pad, touch screen or 10/GUI with the same precision.

Some of these “predictions” are just plain silly.

(1) DVD players. Nope. Not yet. Far too many people have invested too much time and money into DVD players, and the DVDs to warrant getting rid of it. Even those who will have BluRay will not get rids until they’ve replaced.

(2) The landline phone. Not a chance. This prediction must have been made by some idealistic city-bound loon. I live in Lincolnshire, we don’t have cable (and we are never going to get it anytime soon), and mobile phone reception is poor. On top of that, there’s far too many good ISPs (not including any of the mainstream ones) that offer a far superior service. It’s a bit like predicting expensive stereos are a thing of the past becauase of iPods – nonsense.

(5) Mobile phone charger. Entirely possible. Cuts costs for the manufacturer in a cut-throat market.

(7) Sat navs. Another pointless comment for the same reasons as the BluRay one. They’ll only become extinct if the current ones are replaced; there’s thousands of professionals who rely on theirs; can’t see them chucking them in on the basis of these predictions.

(8) Dongles have been on the go for years, and they’re the only method of having great success against piracy (in software). I remember using them on Commodore Pet software years ago (shudder). Wonder what kind of dongles are meant here?

(9) And lastly, the mouse – ridiculous. For one thing, I’m disabled, and as around 19-29% (depending on who’s statistics you believe) of the UK are disabled too, there’s an awful lot of these who like “real” mice and not those stupid little cost/space saving scratchpad mice. Of course, most PC gamers like a proper mouse too.

All in all, I wonder who on Earth writes this sort of guff. Clearly in this case, it’s someone who propbably hasn’t used a lot of these devices regularly.

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